All right, my original theory was Abi and thought I had a pretty strong case about this:
- The promo
picture had her in the middle wearing a red coat. Red meaning blood, meaning murder. Little Red Riding Hood stood in the middle of the picture.
- Abi finding out about the affair between her dad and Lucy since she sent the email with the photos.
- She accidentally ran over and killed her dog during a driving lesson, exerting strange behaviour later when she said "things die".
- She broke up with Jay not long after Lucy's death.
- Her behaviour dramatically changed over the ten months.
There are other reasons, but can't think of them at the top of my head. With those in mind, my theory for Abi killing Lucy would be because she's so sick of her dad having affairs and didn't like Lucy very much, anyway. She perhaps wanted him back. After the Max/Stacey affair coming out, Max/Tanya being on and off, Lauren's alcoholism over the years... she's led a very dysfunctional life since being on the Square. It wouldn't surprise me if she snapped and that moment of anger was taken out on Lucy.
But after Tuesday's revelation of Max thinking Lauren thinks Abi killed her, it just clicked to me: Bobby! Only a few facts came to light: Jane whisked Bobby away not long after the death and they recast the role of Bobby just before the murder when Jane returned with him.
The dysfunctional part that I mentioned about Abi? Well yeah, apply that to Bobby. He's grown up without his biological mother (Laura) since she fell down the stairs and died (which Janine was wrongly accused and put behind bars for). The only one he think has ever cared for him is Jane because he's always referred to her as his mother. Ian was always clashing with the kids (even Cindy, who's not even his but half-sister to Lucy and Peter) and had some kind of drama going on.
And as seen from the flashback episode at 9.25pm last night, Bobby said that Lucy made everyone unhappy (although we know it's not entirely true, she was just struggling with cocaine). So in a moment of anger, he must've grabbed the music box to see what was inside (everyone was going on about it beforehand) and a struggle ensued. Since Lucy had suffered head trauma already (Max's car lot, Abi, Denise) and been accidentally assaulted (Jake), it only took one blow during the fight between them to kill Lucy.
Cue Jane who was on the phone to him. It's no wonder Bobby rang her, as she's the one person who's always been there for him. It's quite eerie to think this all happened whilst Ian, Denise and Cindy were all sleeping upstairs. However, it's understandable that they wouldn't hear what happened because of Roxy's party across the square. We'll find out tonight, but I bet Jane dumped Lucy's body on the Common to make it look like a mugging (which we already know) and maybe had someone help her to do it.
Although it'll probably be ruled as an accident, Bobby looked like he meant it and it's quite fascinating to look at child killers. The tough environment he's grown up in is a huge contribution towards what happened. I'm excited to see how it'll all turn out tonight, but I'm sad to say that I won't be able to watch it because I'm out for a meal!
I haven't analysed a TV episode as much as this. Heck, I didn't even think about Archie's murder back in 2010 as much as this!
PS: I totally had my money on Ronnie for killing Archie.
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